Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 7.048332 7.761059 8.521639 9.394875 10.371227 11.430901 12.670290
2025-11-02 5.744535 6.686673 7.757228 9.068413 10.637313 12.462042 14.756245
2025-11-09 4.812610 5.874271 7.147657 8.797895 10.894919 13.490629 16.977642
2025-11-16 4.136187 5.263452 6.681661 8.614907 11.209311 14.609963 19.469875
2025-11-23 3.635271 4.800783 6.331150 8.515049 11.596118 15.855177 22.307127
2025-11-30 3.315428 4.530628 6.190711 8.663577 12.321553 17.642430 26.172721
2025-12-07 2.980730 4.196915 5.917238 8.579374 12.688291 18.947880 29.519519
2025-12-14 2.668400 3.857920 5.593441 8.372460 12.829971 19.913719 32.467825
2025-12-21 2.444087 3.622591 5.393012 8.321575 13.195495 21.264496 36.255815
2025-12-28 2.309003 3.506828 5.358763 8.522549 13.985879 23.412140 41.789851
2026-01-04 2.181019 3.387967 5.304487 8.678853 14.712138 25.539092 47.649757
2026-01-11 2.042934 3.238832 5.184372 8.705571 15.206396 27.306126 53.115806
2026-01-18 1.893765 3.060995 5.004214 8.615368 15.491685 28.753126 58.278134
2026-01-25 1.755181 2.888928 4.817808 8.493080 15.700813 30.083815 63.463671
2026-02-01 1.628401 2.726301 4.632765 8.352411 15.855072 31.325420 68.704730
2026-02-08 1.520373 2.587486 4.477384 8.250430 16.072446 32.729511 74.618230
2026-02-15 1.430196 2.473100 4.355975 8.200662 16.389812 34.396066 81.530873
2026-02-22 1.377108 2.421778 4.346718 8.372954 17.201644 37.298320 92.262124
2026-03-01 1.299679 2.318839 4.229967 8.311165 17.489114 39.023641 100.245208
2026-03-08 1.214547 2.194846 4.061937 8.123669 17.467078 39.998184 106.353090
2026-03-15 1.152956 2.111443 3.966855 8.082265 17.777557 41.844993 115.446986
2026-03-22 1.121203 2.083818 3.981155 8.281830 18.688756 45.384553 130.617276
2026-03-29 1.086821 2.048260 3.975942 8.436521 19.510841 48.831747 146.455176